Meet the little-known UK stock that’s smashing the S&P 500’s finest!

With so much hype surrounding the S&P 500, itâs sometimes easy to overlook growth stocks closer to home.
For example, Goodwin (LSE:GDWN), the mechanical and refractory engineering group, has seen its share price rise by over 80% since 23 July. This beats all of the Magnificent 7. And every other stock on the FTSE 350. Yet I think itâs fair to say that not much is known about the company or its activities.
What does it do?
The groupâs mineral-based products are designed to withstand extreme conditions. Fire prevention is a major part of its business. Elsewhere, thereâs strong demand for its precision-machined castings that are used in defence and nuclear applications.
Goodwinâs been around for 140 years and now comprises 24 companies operating in 10 countries. I find it heartening to see the share price of a British engineering company outperforming those of Californiaâs new kids on the block.
And after reporting a âstrategic collaboration agreementâ on 24 September, the company now has an opportunity to take itself to the next level.
Great potential
Northrop Grumman, an American aerospace and defence technology company, has placed a $16m order — with the potential to increase it to $200m — as part of four unspecified programmes that itâs working on. Goodwin will supply essential parts, including castings. It says the contract win reflects its âgrowing reputation as a trusted partner in delivering technically advanced components for mission-critical applicationsâ.
With exposure to the defence sector, the group could benefit from heightened global tension. There’s definitely a trend towards more military spending by NATO members and others.
But itâs very difficult to value a stock like Goodwin. Investors have driven its share price higher on the back of a relatively small contract win, albeit one with large follow-on potential. However, thereâs no indication as to the level of margin that might be earned or the timescale over which revenue will be generated.
Getting expensive
During the year ended 30 April, the groupâs earnings per share was 327.17p. This means the stockâs now (23 October) trading on 43 times historical earnings. For context, Spirax Group‘s also a successful engineering business. But its historical price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is around half this figure.
Goodwinâs P/E ratio is in Rolls-Royce territory, which some might argue is appropriate given that itâs also an engineering-cum-defence group. But the smaller of the two doesnât have the recurring revenue of a civil aviation business to keep the cash rolling on. It seems to me that a lot of Goodwinâs potential has already been factored into its share price.
To justify a valuation at this level, itâs got to keep winning more of these types of contracts. And thatâs going to be difficult. Any sign of operational issues with one or more of its major projects and the groupâs share price could fall sharply.
However, its focus on the nuclear and defence sectors makes sense. Thereâs increased spending in both industries and Goodwin could be one of the beneficiaries. And the groupâs clearly good at what it does. Northrop Grummanâs worth nearly $86bn so it can afford to be choosy over who it works with.
On balance, I think the stockâs one for long-term investors to consider.
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James Beard has positions in Rolls-Royce Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Goodwin Plc, Rolls-Royce Plc, and Spirax Group Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.